This week, we’ve got two Monday Night Football games with Jaguars vs. Bills followed by Commanders vs. Bengals. To celebrate this doubleheader, we’re going to give ourselves an extra portion of player props.
Brian Thomas Player Prop: Rookie Poised for Big Game
By Sam Farley
Sometimes, a player just leaps off your screen. Well, Brian Thomas Jr is that guy. He’s an athletic guy and the Jaguars are finding ways to get him the ball as it’s clear that he’s the best wide receiver on the team. His usage is only going to continue to grow and Trevor Lawrence now has a target who can be a game-breaker.
Thomas’ receiving yards line stands at 40.5, a number he’s exceeded in both games of his NFL career. He had 47 yards in Week 1 and followed that up with 94 yards last time out. He’s also a deep threat and has the potential to smash this line with just one reception. In fact, he had a 66-yard reception last week.
Pick: Brian Thomas Over 40.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Brenton Strange Player Prop: How To Bet Backup TE
By Sam Farley
If you're looking for a long-shot touchdown scorer, Jaguars tight end Brenton Strange is your guy. He failed to get a target in the opener, despite being on the field for 36% of Jacksonville's offensive snaps. Without Evan Engram, we saw Strange catch 3-of-6 targets for 65 yards last week as his snap share almost doubled.
The Jaguars are without Engram again, meaning Strange could be a good option for Lawrence in the red zone. The Bills allowed seven combined catches to Jonnu Smith and Durham Smythe in Week 2 and were torched by Trey McBride the week before.
Pick: Brenton Strange Anytime Touchdown (+450)
Josh Allen Player Prop: Keep the Good Times Rolling
By Sam Farley
We've seen Josh Allen throw two touchdowns in his first game and only one in his second, against the Dolphins. The Jaguars are terrible against the pass with only two teams allowing more passing yardage this season.
Against a weak secondary and poor pass rush, there’ll be plenty of chances for Allen to throw touchdown passes. Also, it's worth noting he went over this line when these teams met in Week 5 last season.
Pick: Josh Allen Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (+110)
Brian Robinson Jr. Player Prop: Run Brian Run
By Sam Farley
Last week, Brian Robinson rumbled for 133 yards against the Giants after rushing for just 40 yards against the Bucs in the season opener. Well, the Bengals have given up an average of 159.5 rushing yards per game through two weeks.
With Cincinnati's defensive line banged up, and focusing on Jayden Daniels, there’ll be plenty of chances of Robinson to crush his rushing yards line, especially if he gets close to the 17 carries he had last week, when he managed an impressive 7.8 yards per carry.
Pick: Brian Robinson Jr. Over 52.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
Jayden Daniels Player Prop: Projecting a Tough Night
By Sam Farley
Jayden Daniels has yet to throw his first touchdown pass in the NFL, but it's not for a lack of trying. He’s had 24 and 29 passing attempts through two games and notched 184 yards against the Buccaneers and 226 against the Giants.
The Bengals have only given up 128.5 passing yards per game, the second-fewest of any team, as their defense is faring better against the pass than the rush. Daniels hasn’t been great with his arm yet, so take the under on his passing yards, especially if the Commanders are finding success on the ground.
Pick: Jayden Daniels Under 197.5 Passing Yards (-113)
Mike Gesicki Player Prop: Betting the Under
By Sam Farley
Mike Gesicki might not be an elite tight end, but he’s a capable player and has performed well for the Bengals since arriving in Cincinnati. He caught 3-of-4 targets in Week 1 before having a huge performance against the Chiefs last week when he caught 7-of-9 targets. He’s a big-body option, but with Tee Higgins set to return, we’re going to see Gesicki's opportunities diminish.
The Commanders have only given up five yards (one reception on two targets) to tight ends so far this season. Neither the Giants nor Bucs have great tight ends, but the Commanders have found ways to take the tight end position out of the game. Back the under for Gesicki.
Pick: Mike Gesicki Under 2.5 Receptions (+104)
