The New York Jets are 7.5-point favorites over the Denver Broncos for a reason. Headlined by quarterback Bo Nix, the Broncos simply have not played well offensively this season.
Nix has yet to throw a touchdown pass, is tied for the fourth-most interceptions in the NFL (4), and has the third-worst passer rating (61.8) and yards per attempt (5.3). He also ranks seventh-worst in success rate (37.8%) and sixth-worst in EPA per dropback (-0.26).
The Broncos’ running backs haven’t been much better. They rank 27th in the NFL in yards per carry (3.6), 25th in rush yards over expected per carry (-0.3), 30th in EPA per carry (-0.30), and 30th in success rate (31.5%). Accordingly, Denver’s 45.1 Pro Football Focus team run-blocking grade is the worst in the NFL.
Despite the brutal numbers from their running backs and run-blocking, the Broncos’ overall rushing statistics are mediocre in virtually every area (19th in yards per rush attempt, for example). The primary driver of that is Nix, whose main positive contribution to the offense has been his legs.
In total, Nix has 18 rushes for 107 yards and two touchdowns. Those 107 rushing yards rank seventh-most among quarterbacks. Ten of his 18 attempts have been on scrambles, and six have been on designed runs (the other two were a sneak and kneel-down).
