NY Jets fantasy PPR outlook: Breece Hall can win your league

   

The New York Jets have several fantasy-worthy players in 2024
If you had New York Jets players on your fantasy team in 2023, you were mostly out of luck. The minute Aaron Rodgers went down, the fantasy outlook for every Jets offensive player plummeted.

NY Jets, Breece Hall, Fantasy, PPR

There’s always the possibility that it will happen again in 2024, and that should give you pause. Still, given Rodgers’ health, there are a number of Jets players who could significantly contribute, particularly in PPR leagues.

Here’s how you should draft Jets players if you’re in a PPR redraft league.

Breece Hall
The best PPR players are two-way running backs. Enter Breece Hall, who led running backs in receptions (76) and receiving yards (591) while tying for third in receiving touchdowns (4). Despite heavily inferior blocking, he also ranked 13th in rushing yards (993).

In 2024, Hall has a chance to become the NFL’s best back. Outside of Christian McCaffrey, there is no better back to draft in PPR leagues. With Rodgers’ propensity for throwing to running backs, you can reasonably expect another solid receiving season from Hall. As a running back, with Alijah Vera-Tucker on the field, he averages 6.08 yards per carry.

After bringing in Tyron Smith, John Simpson, Morgan Moses, Braelon Allen, and Isaiah Davis in the offseason, the Jets signaled that they plan to run the ball down opponents’ throats in 2024. Accordingly, FantasyPros ranks Hall as the league’s second-best back in PPR leagues, even though his ADP is the third back at No. 8 overall. If you can place a keeper on him from last season, so much the better. If not, he’s worth taking at his ADP.

Garrett Wilson
I’m not quite as high on Garrett Wilson‘s fantasy outlook after witnessing his 2023 season. Even though his quarterbacking was terrible, he showed some of the flaws in his game, particularly on contested catches and deep balls. Wilson’s ADP in PPR leagues is as WR8 at No. 11 overall; that could potentially be a bit high for him, even though he’s the Jets’ clear No. 1 receiver. Then again, with Rodgers at the helm, Wilson could go back to being the lethal intermediate threat that he was in his rookie year.

I do think Wilson will rack up a bunch of catches, which is excellent for PPR leagues. However, due to his slim frame and lack of contested catch ability, I don’t necessarily think he’ll score a bunch of touchdowns. He scored just three touchdowns in 2023, far worse than players like Jakobi Meyers (8), D.J. Moore (8), Davante Adams (8), and DeAndre Hopkins (7) despite similarly poor quarterback play. That takes away from Wilson’s top-end value.

I would draft him more as a top-15 receiver than a top-10, even with Rodgers back.

Aaron Rodgers
I’m not big on drafting quarterbacks in PPR leagues, as in any given week, you can likely find a free agent to do a serviceable job. Still, if Rodgers stays healthy, he has a good chance to be a productive fantasy quarterback. The Jets’ signals that they want to run the ball definitely cap his high-end potential, but he’s been such an efficient passer in the past that you can expect an excellent touchdown-to-interception ratio, as usual.

Rodgers’ ADP is as QB19 at No. 117 overall. That means the expectations for him are likely in the injury range. You can do better in one-QB leagues, but nevertheless, he’s a good option to have around.

Mike Williams
Mike Williams’ health is the big question. In 2022, he posted 63 catches for 895 yards and 4 touchdowns in 13 games, which would translate to 82 receptions for 1,170 yards and 5 scores over a 17-game slate. He did this as a WR2 with a top-tier quarterback. The problem is that translating Williams’ production over a 17-game season is a common occurrence due to his inability to consistently stay on the field. At age 30 and coming off a torn ACL, Williams’ true value is difficult to project.

Still, he’s such a good fit with Rodgers that he has immense value in PPR leagues. Expect to see many deep jump balls from this connection. Williams’ ADP is No. 97 overall at WR48; he’s definitely worth picking at that spot, not least because he’s likely to be the biggest red zone target in the Jets’ offense.

Jets’ DST
The Jets’ defense has a fourth-ranked ADP among defenses with good reason. They tied for the eighth-most takeaways in the league in 2023 (27) and the seventh-most sacks (48) while also allowing the second-fewest yards (2,861). Despite losing some key defensive players, the Jets project to still field a top-10 defense in most of these categories.

Greg Zuerlein
Greg Zuerlein tied for the sixth-most field goal attempts in the NFL (38) and the eighth-best field-goal percentage (92.1%) but still finished as K13 in fantasy in 2023. That’s because he had just 16 extra-point attempts all season. With the Jets projecting to have a much better offense in 2024, Zuerlein could be a viable fantasy kicker, but he’s currently listed as K18. He might be worth a flier, though.

Malachi Corley
As expected, Malachi Corley began OTAs working with the second-team offense even with Williams sidelined. Allen Lazard was working with the ones. In general, Lazard’s presence lowers Corley’s ceiling in his rookie season even with his YAC ability. Corley’s ADP is No. 214 as WR80, and I agree with that ranking. Even if you’re taking a flier on a WR3, I would not choose Corley, as Lazard could just as easily be the WR3 in many offensive sets.

Tyler Conklin
Tyler Conklin is boringly predictable at this point: he’ll give you somewhere between 55-65 catches and 550-625 yards per season. The problem is that he’s never scored more than three touchdowns in a season, and that doesn’t just have to do with quarterback play. He’s not going to be the Jets’ primary red zone target this season with Williams in tow. He’s listed as TE23 with an ADP of 183. I would stay away.